BRHL Season Preview & Organizational Rankings

How does your team stack up

 

With the 2019-20 BRHL Season kicking off, here is an in depth look at how teams grade out at goalie, defense and forward. A look into their prospects, an overall organizational grade, a look at guys on the prospect lists who made NHL teams out of camp, etc. A complete overall look at the BRHL.

First, a fun look at players on teams prospect lists who made NHL rosters out of camp

 

Player

NHL Team

BRHL Team

Vladislav Gavrikov

Columbus

Avalanche

Joakim Nygard

Edmonton

Avalanche

Joel Persson

Edmonton

Avalanche

Ilya Mikheyev

Toronto

Avalanche

Elvis Merzlikins

Columbus

Blues

Noah Dobson

NY Islanders

Blues

Mario Ferraro

San Jose

Blues

Nick Suzuki

Montreal

Coyotes

Connor Timmins

Colorado

Ducks

Adam Fox

NY Rangers

Ducks

Martin Fehervary

Washington

Flames

Nikita Gusev

New Jersey

Islanders

Cody Glass

Vegas

Maple Leafs

Cale Makar

Colorado

Oilers

Jimmy Schuldt

Vegas

Panthers

Emil Bemstrom

Columbus

Rangers

Dante Fabbro

Nashville

Rangers

Dominik Kubalik

Chicago

Senators

David Gustafsson

Winnipeg

Sharks

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PROSPECT AND SYSTEM GRADES

 

 

 


Now, let’s take a look at overall team prospect ratings.
Using the prospect gradings from July edition of TheNextWaveNHL https://www.facebook.com/thenextwavenhl/ . If we look at the top 100 rankings and apply an inverse value (#1 ranked prospect worth 100 points, #100 ranked worth 1 point), here are the team rankings for high end prospects in their organization, as well as a list of said prospects.

BRHL Team Ranks

 

Rank

Team

Top 100 Score

1

Ducks

375

2

Wild

277

3

Maple Leafs

251

4

Sharks

242

5

Oilers

240

6

Flyers

237

7

Rangers

223

8

Sabres

220

9

Flames

197

10

Stoners

182

11

Canadiens

179

12

Capitals

175

13

Coyotes

167

14

Avalanche

136

15

Bruins

73

16

Stars

66

17

Kings

62

18

Jets

40

19

Blackhawks

39

20

Blues

38

21

Golden Knights

34

22

Penguins

28

23

Canucks

27

24

Predators

16

25

Red Wings

8

n/r

Panthers

 

n/r

Devils

 

n/r

Blue Jackets

 

n/r

Islanders

 

n/r

Lightning

 

n/r

Senators

 

n/r

Hurricanes

 

 

 

 


Player Rankings (recently drafted players not in BRHL explain the missing rankings)

 

Player

Team

Top 100

Carter Hart

Canadiens

3

Cale Makar

Oilers

4

Vitali Kravtsov

Capitals

5

Kirill Kaprizov

Wild

8

Joel Farabee

Wild

9

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Sharks

10

Ilya Sorokin

Flyers

11

Evan Bouchard

Sabres

12

Filip Zadina

Maple Leafs

15

Rasmus Kupari

Stoners

16

Dominik Bokk

Avalanche

18

Martin Necas

Canadiens

20

Filip Hronek

Flyers

21

Henrik Borgstrom

Capitals

22

Bode Wilde

Stoners

24

Cody Glass

Maple Leafs

26

Henri Jokiharju

Bruins

28

Quintin Hughes

Flames

29

Barrett Hayton

Ducks

30

Grigori Denisenko

Ducks

31

Jesse Ylonen

Sabres

32

Eeli Tolvanen

Sharks

33

Alexander Romanov

Rangers

34

Igor Shestyorkin

Stars

35

Erik Brannstrom

Wild

36

Morgan Frost

Oilers

37

Rasmus Sandin

Rangers

38

Kristian Vesalainen

Kings

39

Joseph Veleno

Sabres

40

Sam Steel

Ducks

44

Emil Bemstrom

Rangers

45

Aleksi Heponiemi

Sharks

46

Ty Smith

Ducks

48

Jesper Boqvist

Maple Leafs

49

Adam Fox

Ducks

50

K'Andre Miller

Coyotes

51

Alexander Chmelevski

Ducks

53

Martin Kaut

Flyers

55

Juuso Valimaki

Flames

57

Eetu Luostarinen

Avalanche

58

Ian Mitchell

Oilers

59

Dmitri Samorukov

Coyotes

60

Carl Grundstrom

Jets

61

Akil Thomas

Blackhawks

62

Jaret Anderson-Dolan

Blues

63

Cayden Primeau

Oilers

64

Oliver Wahlstrom

Coyotes

65

Jordan Kyrou

Golden Knights

67

Serron Noel

Maple Leafs

68

Urho Vaakanainen

Rangers

70

Dillon Dube

Flames

71

Troy Terry

Flames

72

Isac Lundestrom

Penguins

73

Thatcher Demko

Canucks

74

Jake Oettinger

Ducks

76

Nicholas Suzuki

Coyotes

78

Adam Boqvist

Flyers

80

Nils Lundkvist

Flames

82

Ryan Merkley

Stoners

83

Olli Juolevi

Sharks

84

Veini Vehvilainen

Predators

85

Albin Eriksson

Wild

86

MacKenzie Blackwood

Coyotes

88

Filip Hallander

Wild

89

David Gustafsson

Sharks

90

Vladislav Gavrikov

Avalanche

91

Taylor Raddysh

Red Wings

93

Samuel Ersson

Rangers

95

Marcus Davidsson

Maple Leafs

96

Philipp Kurashev

Coyotes

97

Ilya Samsonov

Flames

98

Lukas Dostal

Stoners

99

Kale Clague

Sabres

100

 



Next up, using NHL Teams Top 20 Prospect Rankings, we apply a 50-45-40-35-30-20-18-16-14-12-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 points scale for inverse rankings (Having a teams #1 prospect is worth 50 points, the #20 prospect is worth 1 point). This tells us which teams have the deepest system in regards to prospects. Thank you CJ Smith for getting Rich a single point so every team had someone!

 

 

 

BRHL Team Prospect Depth Rankings


 

Rank

Team

Depth Score

1

Flames

857

2

Flyers

557

3

Stoners

484

4

Avalanche

461

5

Ducks

425

6

Maple Leafs

408

7

Sharks

394

8

Wild

358

9

Panthers

327

10

Rangers

310

11

Sabres

306

12

Capitals

295

13

Coyotes

292

14

Oilers

268

15

Golden Knights

233

16

Canucks

211

17

Canadiens

209

18

Blues

129

19

Devils

127

20

Red Wings

125

21

Jets

100

22

Blue Jackets

92

23

Islanders

84

24

Penguins

83

25

Predators

76

26

Bruins

70

27

Lightning

60

28

Blackhawks

58

29

Stars

54

30

Kings

50

31

Senators

34

32

Hurricanes

1

 

 

 

 

 

Overall Team prospect Grades and ranked. Factoring top 100 score as 75% of the grade and depth score as 25%.

 

Prospect Rank

Team

Prospect Grade

1

Flames

362

2

Flyers

317

3

Stoners

257.5

4

Avalanche

217.3

5

Ducks

387.5

6

Maple Leafs

290.3

7

Sharks

280

8

Wild

297.3

9

Panthers

81.8

10

Rangers

244.8

11

Sabres

241.5

12

Capitals

205

13

Coyotes

198.3

14

Oilers

247

15

Golden Knights

83.8

16

Canucks

73

17

Canadiens

186.5

18

Blues

60.8

19

Devils

31.8

20

Red Wings

37.3

21

Jets

55

22

Blue Jackets

23

23

Islanders

21

24

Penguins

41.8

25

Predators

31

26

Bruins

72.3

27

Lightning

15

28

Blackhawks

43.8

29

Stars

63

30

Kings

59

31

Senators

8.5

32

Hurricanes

0.3

 

 

 

Not a lot of surprises here, we see rebuilding teams at the top, and some stacked teams like the Flames up there as well. The teams that have no future, are accurately reflected. Wow the Canes and Sens are terrible. Quite the tumble for the once proud Sens system.

 

 

 

 

 

CURRENT YEAR PROJECTIONS

 

Now let’s look at actual rosters as we head into the season. We know which teams have a bright future. But what about this year?

Goalie Ratings –
Starting Goalies are given 80% of the grade weight, backups 20%

 

 

 

G Rank

BRHL team

G Grade

1

Blackhawks

84.6

2

Golden Knights

79.6

3

Islanders

78.8

4

Hurricanes

78

5

Senators

77.8

6

Bruins

77.6

7

Ducks

77.2

8

Jets

77

9

Stoners

75.8

10

Wild

75.2

11

Predators

74.8

12

Red Wings

74.6

13

Kings

73.8

14

Blue Jackets

73.6

15

Rangers

73.6

16

Lightning

73

17

Blues

73

18

Canadiens

73

19

Penguins

72.8

20

Avalanche

72.6

21

Devils

72.6

22

Capitals

71.2

23

Sabres

69.8

24

Flyers

69.2

25

Coyotes

69

26

Oilers

68.8

27

Flames

67.8

28

Sharks

67.6

29

Panthers

66.4

30

Stars

64

31

Maple Leafs

62.8

32

Canucks

60

 

 

 

No surprises here, Chicago has the 2 best goalies on their roster right now, we know Bishop will be moving to Dallas (but will their horrendous goaltending kill them to start the year?). But the Hawks even have Koskinen as a 3rd right now, so won’t drop much. The tanking Stoners are good in net for sure, how long until Fleury gets dealt? Of teams who consider themselves contenders, many likely need to address goaltending (Aves, Pens, Habs, Flames specifically)

 


Defenseman Ratings – Top 6 weighted equally. We know you can’t play a guy to death, top 6 matters.

 

D Rank

BRHL team

D Grade

1

Golden Knights

74.3

2

Blue Jackets

72.7

3

Avalanche

72.7

4

Jets

72.3

5

Bruins

72.2

6

Kings

72.2

7

Rangers

72

8

Lightning

72

9

Canadiens

71.8

10

Predators

71.7

11

Red Wings

71.7

12

Ducks

71.5

13

Stars

71

14

Senators

70.7

15

Penguins

70.7

16

Islanders

70.3

17

Blues

70.2

18

Flyers

70.2

19

Wild

69.5

20

Oilers

69.5

21

Hurricanes

69

22

Maple Leafs

69

23

Sabres

68.5

24

Flames

68.5

25

Devils

68.3

26

Panthers

68.3

27

Blackhawks

68.2

28

Sharks

68

29

Canucks

67.2

30

Capitals

66.5

31

Stoners

65.5

32

Coyotes

63.5

 


Wow are the Golden Knights stacked on D, combined with their goaltending, Vegas will be tough to score on. We see a clear break between contenders and rebuilders, with the exception of the Hawks, who will be fascinating. Can a poor DF be masked by great goaltending? Ditto Carolina. And man are the Coyotes terrible.

 


Forward Ratings – Top 12 weighted equally. We know you can’t play a guy to death, top 12 matters.

 

F Rank

BRHL team

F Grade

1

Stars

73.3

2

Bruins

73

3

Senators

72.2

4

Golden Knights

71.5

5

Lightning

71.5

6

Blue Jackets

71.3

7

Avalanche

71

8

Islanders

70.9

9

Canadiens

70.8

10

Predators

70.4

11

Blackhawks

69.8

12

Jets

69.6

13

Hurricanes

69.6

14

Penguins

69.4

15

Kings

69.2

16

Oilers

69.2

17

Blues

69.1

18

Rangers

68.8

19

Ducks

68.8

20

Red Wings

68.6

21

Sharks

68.2

22

Wild

67.5

23

Flames

67.1

24

Panthers

66.8

25

Coyotes

66.8

26

Devils

66.4

27

Maple Leafs

66.2

28

Canucks

65.1

29

Capitals

64.8

30

Flyers

64

31

Sabres

63.3

32

Stoners

61.3

 

 

 

No surprises here, the top offensive teams look like the top offensive teams. A few things jump out. Calgary is lower than one would suspect, same with Detroit. The Golden Knights again rank high on here. That team looks loaded. The Stoners & Sabres suck.

 


OVERALL TEAM RANKINGS

 

 

 

Using all the data we have, and utilizing a 40% impact of goalies, 30% for forwards and 30% for dmen, here are your 2019 Team Power Rankings to begin the season


 

Team Rank

BRHL team

Team Grade

1

Golden Knights

75.6

2

Blackhawks

75.2

3

Bruins

74.6

4

Senators

74

5

Islanders

73.9

6

Jets

73.4

7

Ducks

73

8

Hurricanes

72.8

9

Blue Jackets

72.6

10

Predators

72.6

11

Lightning

72.3

12

Avalanche

72.2

13

Canadiens

72

14

Kings

71.9

15

Red Wings

71.9

16

Rangers

71.7

17

Penguins

71.2

18

Wild

71.2

19

Blues

71

20

Devils

69.5

21

Oilers

69.1

22

Stars

68.9

23

Stoners

68.4

24

Sharks

67.9

25

Capitals

67.9

26

Flyers

67.9

27

Flames

67.8

28

Sabres

67.5

29

Panthers

67.1

30

Coyotes

66.7

31

Maple Leafs

65.7

32

Canucks

63.7

 

 

 

Some of this we know. The Canucks, Leafs, Coyotes, Panthers and Sabres will suck. Contending ranking super low are the Flames (27), Stars (22), Penguins (17). Some surprisingly high teams include Chicago (2), Anaheim (7), Carolina (8).

Now I realize grading goalies so highly wildly affects the swing of these gradings, but we’re seeing in the BRHLD, winning without a goalie is very tough.


The Verdict – Standings Prediction

Simply using the data at hand, here’s the projected playoff breakdowns


 

Pacific

Central

Metro

Atlantic

Golden Knights

Blackhawks

Islanders

Bruins

Ducks

Jets

Hurricanes

Senators

Kings

Predators

Blue Jackets

Lightning

Oilers

x Avalanche

Rangers

x Canadiens

Sharks

Wild

Penguins

x Red Wings

Flames

Blues

Devils

Sabres

Coyotes

Stars

Capitals

Panthers

Canucks

Stoners

Flyers

Leafs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OVERALL ORGANIZATION RANKINGS

 

 

 

Using current projection as 75% of the rating, and a team’s future grade as 25% of the rating. Here is your rankings of the top organizations within the BRHL as we head into 2019-20.

 

Org Rank

BRHL team

Org Grade

1

Golden Knights

4.5

2

Ducks

6.5

3

Blackhawks

8.5

4

Bruins

8.8

5

Islanders

9.5

6

Jets

9.8

7

Avalanche

10

8

Senators

10.8

9

Blue Jackets

12.3

10

Predators

13.8

11

Hurricanes

14

12

Canadiens

14

13

Rangers

14.5

14

Lightning

15

15

Wild

15.5

16

Red Wings

16.3

17

Kings

18

18

Stoners

18

19

Penguins

18.8

20

Blues

18.8

21

Oilers

19.3

22

Devils

19.8

23

Sharks

19.8

24

Flyers

20

25

Flames

20.5

26

Capitals

21.8

27

Stars

23.8

28

Sabres

23.8

29

Panthers

24

30

Maple Leafs

24.8

31

Coyotes

25.8

32

Canucks

28

 


I was going to write more, but anything that grades Devon that highly is obviously stupid and irrelevant.

 

My defence may be horrible but with Kulikov and Morrissey out its almost better than NHL Jets D!
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